As President Trump has relied on some congressional representatives to fill cabinet posts, five districts throughout the country are preparing to hold, or will be preparing to hold, special elections to determine who will fill the vacant seats. The Republican Party controls 241 House seats compared to the Democrats’ control of 194, so the outcomes of the special elections could not tip control of the House. The outcomes could, though, provide strong clues about potential performance in the 2018 elections.
The five seats that are or will be vacant are: the Kansas 4th (Mike Pompeo nominated to be the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency), the South Carolina 5th (Mike Mulvaney nominated to become the OMB Director), the California 34th (Xavier Becerra resigned to become California’s Attorney General), the Georgia 6th (Tom Price has become the Health and Human Services Secretary), and Montana’s district (Ryan Zinke has become the Secretary of the Interior).
In all of the districts except the California 34th, Republicans are the incumbent and are largely favored to win the elections.